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Trump, global conflict and the price paid by markets

The modern American president no longer has the luxury of dealing with one crisis at a time.

A missile launched in the Middle East can move oil markets before sunrise. A military escalation in Eastern Europe can unsettle investors thousands of miles away. A trade dispute with China can ripple through supply chains across continents. In today’s interconnected world, geopolitics no longer stays within borders—it travels through markets. This is the reality confronting President Donald Trump.

From Ukraine to Gaza, from Iran to China, the White House finds itself managing a growing collection of geopolitical flashpoints whose consequences extend far beyond diplomacy. Every conflict carries military implications. Every conflict carries political risks. But increasingly, every conflict carries an economic price—and global markets are often the first place where that price appears.

Yet the real story is not that markets react to conflict. Markets have always done that. The real story

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