Nigeria could record an additional 31,400 heat-related deaths between September 2026 and February 2027 as an unusually strong El Niño weather pattern intensifies, a report by the Climate Impact Lab has warned.
The projection places Nigeria among the countries expected to suffer the highest number of additional heat-related deaths globally during the six-month period, with nearly half of the 66,800 deaths projected across the Sahel region expected to occur in the country.
The report, published on September 22, 2026, and titled 451,000 at Risk: Where Action Can Save Lives During the Super El Niño, estimates that 451,000 additional heat-related deaths could occur worldwide between June 2026 and February 2027 compared with a normal year.
The researchers project that global land temperatures will be 1.2 degrees Celsius above normal in the coming months, with 44 per cent more extremely hot days than would typically be expected.
Explaining the human cost of
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